Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Election Day Data: The Betting Markets

To save some data for posterity, here is what the political betting markets have had to say about today's presidential election.

As of this morning (Election Day)...

(if you're wondering why these numbers add up to more than 100, remember these are betting markets, not percentages.)

For comparison, public polling currently shows Clinton leading Trump by only a 45.5% - 42.2% margin.

Also, here is a a chart illustrating how the betting markets have fluctuated for the two candidates over the past 90 days leading up to the election...

More to come.