Wednesday, December 17, 2008

The Future of the Internet Revealed...

The Pew Internet and American Life Project has just released the third installment of its series titled, "The Future of the Internet".

The survey of internet leaders, activists and analysts has, in the past, offered interesting predictions such as how the dawning of the blog era will bring radical change to the news and publishing industry, that the internet will have the least impact on religious institutions, and that "those who are connected online will devote more time to sophisticated, compelling, networked, synthetic worlds".

For this year's installment, a consensus among the experts has led to the following predictions...

  • The mobile device will be the primary connection tool to the internet for most people in the world in 2020.

  • The transparency of people and organizations will increase, but that will not necessarily yield more personal integrity, social tolerance, or forgiveness.

  • Voice recognition and touch user-interfaces with the internet will be more prevalent and accepted by 2020.

  • Those working to enforce intellectual property law and copyright protection will remain in a continuing arms race, with the crackers who will find ways to copy and share content without payment.

  • The divisions between personal time and work time and between physical and virtual reality will be further erased for everyone who is connected, and the results will be mixed in their impact on basic social relations.

  • Next-generation engineering of the network to improve the current internet architecture is more likely than an effort to rebuild the architecture from scratch.

Some of these are, admittedly, more interesting than others, while some don't seem to be controversial at all. However, what predictions might YOU make???


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